Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.001254 0.001409 0.001563 0.001729 0.001901 0.002074 0.002261
2025-11-09 0.001014 0.001238 0.001469 0.001722 0.001991 0.002265 0.002567
2025-11-16 0.000830 0.001105 0.001396 0.001723 0.002076 0.002443 0.002850
2025-11-23 0.000679 0.000992 0.001334 0.001726 0.002156 0.002608 0.003115
2025-11-30 0.000591 0.000941 0.001333 0.001789 0.002296 0.002834 0.003441
2025-12-07 0.000477 0.000848 0.001276 0.001784 0.002357 0.002970 0.003667
2025-12-14 0.000363 0.000742 0.001197 0.001748 0.002378 0.003058 0.003837
2025-12-21 0.000301 0.000695 0.001181 0.001781 0.002473 0.003225 0.004090
2025-12-28 0.000218 0.000609 0.001114 0.001750 0.002491 0.003304 0.004244
2026-01-04 0.000164 0.000556 0.001082 0.001755 0.002549 0.003424 0.004442
2026-01-11 0.000111 0.000493 0.001033 0.001739 0.002579 0.003512 0.004601
2026-01-18 0.000072 0.000444 0.000999 0.001736 0.002623 0.003613 0.004773
2026-01-25 0.000026 0.000371 0.000940 0.001720 0.002671 0.003742 0.005003
2026-02-01 0.000002 0.000307 0.000890 0.001713 0.002730 0.003885 0.005252
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000253 0.000848 0.001714 0.002798 0.004038 0.005512
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000206 0.000809 0.001717 0.002867 0.004191 0.005772
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000188 0.000817 0.001780 0.003009 0.004428 0.006126
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000146 0.000776 0.001775 0.003065 0.004564 0.006365
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000099 0.000715 0.001739 0.003081 0.004652 0.006548
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000080 0.000705 0.001772 0.003182 0.004838 0.006840
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000047 0.000652 0.001740 0.003199 0.004924 0.007017
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000029 0.000626 0.001745 0.003262 0.005063 0.007254
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000011 0.000587 0.001729 0.003296 0.005166 0.007448